Caribbean Coastal Scenarios, Jamaica

Mona Geoinformatics Institute in collaboaration with the Environmental Management Unit, created land-use projection scenarios in keeping with the scenarios developed under the Caribbean Coastal Scenarios Project managed by the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research.

Land use shapefiles from the years 1998 and 1989 were used as the basis for change modeling of the following scenarios:

  • Business as Usual (assumes no change in present trend);
  • Best Case (assumes most land use is converted to natural state); and
  • Worst Case (assumes conversion to intensive agriculture and increased urbanization).